Domestic animals expect food when they see the person who feeds them. We know that all these rather crude expectations of uniformity are liable to be misleading. The man who has fed the
chicken every day throughout its life at last wrings its neck instead, showing that more refined views as to the uniformity of nature would have been useful to the chicken.
Taleb riprende l'idea in un interessante saggio sui rischi dell'induzione statistica:
Bene, dopo queste cattive notizie, ecco l'aggiornamento al 27 novembre scorso: